GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 4/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atlético Ottawa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vancouver FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver FC hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Canadian Premier League, while Vancouver FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver FC

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

12.5%

Vancouver FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético OttawaWLLWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vancouver FCLLLDD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atlético OttawaVancouver FC
52.1Attack51.0
39.6Defence66.7
50.0Form52.9
49.6Power57.2
1.10xG1.72
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