GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 9/24/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Ottawa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlético Ottawa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Valour are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 40.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Canadian Premier League, while Atlético Ottawa holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Ottawa

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético OttawaLDLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ValourLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlético OttawaValour
52.1Attack29.8
39.6Defence54.8
50.0Form31.0
49.6Power40.8
1.57xG0.95
View match centre →