GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Championship · 5/1/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Atlético Ottawa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Valour are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Canadian Championship, while Atlético Ottawa holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Ottawa

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético OttawaWDWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ValourLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlético OttawaValour
77.8Attack33.3
22.2Defence0.0
44.4Form0.0
49.5Power15.3
2.37xG1.49
View match centre →