Atlético Ottawavs
Supra du Quebec
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/20/2026, 4:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Ottawa 0-2 Supra du Quebec
Original prediction
Atlético Ottawa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.6% | 49.7% | 13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 21.2% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.5% | 29.1% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Ottawa
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40