GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 9/29/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlético Ottawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlético Ottawa are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while HFX Wanderers FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Ottawa hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Canadian Premier League, while Atlético Ottawa holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlético Ottawa

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Atlético Ottawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético OttawaDDDWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
HFX Wanderers FCDDWLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlético OttawaHFX Wanderers FC
52.1Attack41.2
39.6Defence49.0
50.0Form33.3
49.6Power43.3
1.75xG1.33
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