GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 5/27/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Atlético Ottawa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Forge are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Forge hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Canadian Premier League, while Forge holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forge

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

56.7%

Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético OttawaLWDLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ForgeLDWDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atlético OttawaForge
52.1Attack51.1
39.6Defence80.0
50.0Form77.8
49.6Power71.8
0.83xG1.81
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