Atlético Ottawavs
Forge
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Ottawa 1-2 Forge
Original prediction
Forge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.17 | 21.6% | 18.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.3% | 22.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 54.1% | 58.6% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00