Atlético Ottawavs
Cavalry FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cavalry FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Ottawa 3-2 Cavalry FC
Original prediction
Cavalry FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.46 | 20.4% | 13.7% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 21.6% | 18.4% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 58.0% | 67.8% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Cavalry FC
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
Cavalry FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40