Atlético Mineiro U20vs
Athletic Club MG U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Mineiro U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Mineiro U20 2-1 Athletic Club MG U20
Original prediction
Atlético Mineiro U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 55.9% | 46.2% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.6% | 24.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.39 | 20.5% | 28.8% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Mineiro U20
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Atlético Mineiro U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80