Atlético Madrid U19vs
Manchester United U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Madrid U19 3-0 Manchester United U19
Original prediction
Manchester United U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 46.9% | 36.0% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.5% | 38.6% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Manchester United U19
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Manchester United U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80