Atlético Madrid IIvs
Juventud Torremolinos
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 8/30/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Madrid II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Madrid II 2-2 Juventud Torremolinos
Original prediction
Atlético Madrid II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.7% | 57.2% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.4% | 23.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.80 | 23.9% | 19.2% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Madrid II
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Atlético Madrid II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60