Atlético CPvs
Vizela
COMPLETEDPortugal · Taça de Portugal · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético CP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético CP 1-0 Vizela
Original prediction
Atlético CP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 27.0% | 40.4% | 13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.5% | 26.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.5% | 33.3% | -13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Atlético CP
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Atlético CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80