Atlético Cholomavs
Olancho
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olancho · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atlético Choloma 0-0 Olancho, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Choloma 0-0 Olancho
Original prediction
Olancho
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 25.9% | 28.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.7% | 28.6% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.3% | 43.2% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
Atlético Choloma 0–0 Olancho
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Olancho
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Olancho has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atlético CholomaLWLLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OlanchoLDWDW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Atlético CholomaOlancho
26.7Attack33.3
53.3Defence73.3
20.0Form53.3
35.3Power56.5
0.83xG1.11