Atlético Cholomavs
Génesis
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/24/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atlético Choloma 0-0 Génesis, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Choloma 3-1 Génesis
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.8% | 28.3% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.8% | 33.4% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.4% | 38.3% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Projected Score
Atlético Choloma 0–0 Génesis
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.4%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atlético CholomaWLWLD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GénesisLLDLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Atlético CholomaGénesis
30.0Attack36.7
63.3Defence70.0
33.3Form36.7
44.0Power47.9
0.57xG0.74