Atlético Centralvs
Tamaraceite
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Central · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Central 1-0 Tamaraceite
Original prediction
Atlético Central
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.8% | 48.5% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.9% | 24.0% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 25.3% | 27.5% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Central
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Atlético Central has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40