Atlético Centralvs
Sevilla Atletico
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sevilla Atletico · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atlético Central 0-1 Sevilla Atletico, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Central 2-0 Sevilla Atletico
Original prediction
Sevilla Atletico
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 30.9% | 27.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.7% | 30.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 39.4% | 42.5% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Atlético Central 0–1 Sevilla Atletico
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Sevilla Atletico
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Sevilla Atletico has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00