Atlético Balearesvs
Mallorca II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Baleares · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atlético Baleares 0-0 Mallorca II, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Baleares 2-2 Mallorca II
Original prediction
Atlético Baleares
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.2% | 40.2% | -17.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 28.8% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 5.37 | 16.9% | 31.0% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.9 pts
Projected Score
Atlético Baleares 0–0 Mallorca II
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Baleares
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Atlético Baleares has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80