Atlético Astorgavs
Salamanca UDS
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/26/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Astorga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Astorga 2-1 Salamanca UDS
Original prediction
Atlético Astorga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.3% | 40.1% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.6% | 27.0% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 38.1% | 32.9% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Astorga
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Atlético Astorga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80