GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Palencia CF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atlético Astorga are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Palencia CF are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Palencia CF hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Palencia CF holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Palencia CF

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

11.3%

Palencia CF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético AstorgaLDDWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Palencia CFD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Atlético AstorgaPalencia CF
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
16.7Form33.3
31.3Power45.3
1.59xG1.68
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