GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Juazeirense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Atlético Alagoinhas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Juazeirense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Juazeirense hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (25.3 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Serie D, while Juazeirense holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Juazeirense

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Juazeirense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético AlagoinhasLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
JuazeirenseWDLDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlético AlagoinhasJuazeirense
16.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
16.7Form47.2
25.3Power51.2
0.48xG1.31
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