GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSE · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlético Alagoinhas are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CSE are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CSE hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (25.3 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Serie D, while CSE holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSE

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

CSE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético AlagoinhasLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CSELLLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Atlético AlagoinhasCSE
16.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence43.3
16.7Form30.0
25.3Power38.3
0.85xG1.26
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