Atlético Alagoinhasvs
CSE
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSE · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atlético Alagoinhas are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CSE are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CSE hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (25.3 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Serie D, while CSE holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CSE
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
CSE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20