GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ASA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Atlético Alagoinhas are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while ASA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and ASA hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (25.3 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.7% in the Serie D, while ASA holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

ASA

Probability

76.6%

Model confidence

19.7%

ASA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlético AlagoinhasLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ASALWWDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlético AlagoinhasASA
16.7Attack49.0
33.3Defence80.4
16.7Form64.7
25.3Power65.3
0.33xG2.01
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