UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 9 July 2026Last updated 12:40
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Home
WW
21
Full time
Mornar

Mornar

Away
LL
Estadi Comunal
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(51%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Win probability
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
51%
Draw
26%
Mornar
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
73
Mornar
34
Defence
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
66
Mornar
27
Momentum
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
100
Mornar
0
Danger (xG)
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.80
Mornar
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Mornar)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Mornar)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Atlètic Club d'EscaldesAtlètic Club d'Escaldes
WWW
MornarMornar
LLD

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes51%
Draw26%
Mornar24%

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Estadi Comunal in decent form (WW), while Mornar arrive in mixed form (LL). Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Mornar over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Atlètic Club d'Escaldes's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Mornar defence (27/100), while Mornar's attack is up against a solid Atlètic Club d'Escaldes backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Atlètic Club d'Escaldes's favour.

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Mornar have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Atlètic Club d'Escaldes to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 5068%, Draw 2570%, Mornar 2362%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 2Draws 00 Mornar
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 2/2
16 Jul 2026
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
W21
Mornar
9 Jul 2026
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
W21
Mornar

Recent form

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

W
@ Mornar
16 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Mornar
9 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Penya Encarnada
17 May 2026
20
Mornar

Mornar

L
vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
16 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
9 Jul 2026
12
D
@ Buducnost Podgorica
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?

GoalVio's model predicts Atlètic Club d'Escaldes to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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