Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cibao · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Atlántico are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Cibao are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Cibao hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 69.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Liga Mayor, while Cibao holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cibao
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
14.5%
Cibao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80