Atletico Tucumanvs
Rosario Central
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rosario Central · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Tucuman 0-0 Rosario Central, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Tucuman 2-3 Rosario Central
Original prediction
Rosario Central
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 28.1% | 23.2% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 31.4% | 32.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 40.6% | 44.8% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Rosario Central
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Rosario Central
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Rosario Central has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40