Atletico Tucumanvs
River Plate
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/12/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Tucuman 0-0 River Plate, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Tucuman 1-2 River Plate
Original prediction
River Plate
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.79 | 24.6% | 28.2% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.6% | 32.9% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 44.8% | 38.9% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Tucuman 0–0 River Plate
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
River Plate
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20