Atletico Tucumanvs
Barracas Central
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Tucuman 0-0 Barracas Central, with an exact score probability of 38%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Tucuman 2-3 Barracas Central
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 50.6% | 35.6% | -15.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.9% | 38.4% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 5.10 | 18.4% | 26.0% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Tucuman 0–0 Barracas Central
Exact score probability: 38%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00