Atletico Torquevs
Progreso
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 5/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atletico Torque are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Progreso are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Primera División, while Atletico Torque holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
16.9%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20