GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/9/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Torque are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gremio are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Torque holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Torque

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico TorqueDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GremioDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico TorqueGremio
54.2Attack41.7
79.2Defence70.8
79.2Form45.8
72.8Power53.6
1.15xG0.61
View match centre →