GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 6/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atletico Torque are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Maldonado

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico TorqueWDWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Deportivo MaldonadoWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico TorqueDeportivo Maldonado
50.0Attack55.1
59.1Defence65.2
53.0Form60.9
55.5Power61.9
1.09xG1.25
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