Atletico Torquevs
Deportivo Maldonado
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 6/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atletico Torque are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maldonado hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Maldonado holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maldonado
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60