Atletico Torquevs
Defensor Sporting
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atletico Torque are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Defensor Sporting are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 49.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Torque holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
16.9%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80