GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 5/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Torque · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atletico Torque are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Club Nacional are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Primera División, while Atletico Torque holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Torque

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico TorqueWWDLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Club NacionalWLLLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Atletico TorqueClub Nacional
50.0Attack50.7
59.1Defence55.1
53.0Form50.7
55.5Power53.4
1.45xG1.13
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