Atletico Torquevs
Club Nacional
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 3/28/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atletico Torque are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Club Nacional are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Primera División, while Atletico Torque holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20