GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 3/28/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Torque · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atletico Torque are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Club Nacional are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Torque hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Primera División, while Atletico Torque holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Torque

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico TorqueLWDWW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Club NacionalWLWLL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico TorqueClub Nacional
50.0Attack50.7
59.1Defence55.1
53.0Form50.7
55.5Power53.4
1.45xG1.13
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