Atletico Torquevs
Atletico-MG
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Torque 2-0 Atletico-MG
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.25 | 29.1% | 40.3% | 11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 30.7% | 28.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 40.2% | 31.5% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60