Atletico San Luisvs
Santos Laguna
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico San Luis · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico San Luis 1-2 Santos Laguna
Original prediction
Atletico San Luis
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 46.1% | 43.3% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 26.1% | 27.4% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 27.8% | 29.3% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Atletico San Luis
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Atletico San Luis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80