Atletico San Luisvs
Club Queretaro
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Queretaro · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico San Luis 2-1 Club Queretaro
Original prediction
Club Queretaro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.5% | 30.8% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.2% | 24.6% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 31.3% | 44.6% | 13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Club Queretaro
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Club Queretaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20