GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CF Pachuca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atletico San Luis are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Pachuca are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and pachuca hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga MX, favouring Pachuca with 13.6% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CF Pachuca

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

13.6%

CF Pachuca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico San LuisLLDDL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CF PachucaLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca
44.4Attack44.4
44.4Defence66.7
22.2Form33.3
40.2Power47.3
1.32xG1.36
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