GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/26/2025, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Atletico Pilar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while SAT Moreno are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

70.8%

Model confidence

70.8%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico PilarLWLDL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SAT MorenoWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico PilarSAT Moreno
26.7Attack50.0
40.0Defence86.7
16.7Form80.0
29.5Power72.9
0.36xG1.86
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