GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/3/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Atletico Pilar are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while SAT Moreno are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 43.4-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

70.8%

Model confidence

70.8%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico PilarLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SAT MorenoLDLLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico PilarSAT Moreno
26.7Attack50.0
40.0Defence86.7
16.7Form80.0
29.5Power72.9
0.36xG1.86
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