GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/17/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Pilar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Pilar are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 3.67 conceded, while Provincial are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Pilar hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Atletico Pilar holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Pilar

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Atletico Pilar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico PilarLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.67/3.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
ProvincialWLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Atletico PilarProvincial
26.7Attack23.3
40.0Defence26.7
16.7Form23.3
29.5Power26.7
1.24xG0.79
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