GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/17/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Pilar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Pilar are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Juventud de Bernal are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Pilar hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 18.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Atletico Pilar holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Pilar

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Atletico Pilar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico PilarLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Juventud de BernalDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico PilarJuventud de Bernal
26.7Attack20.0
40.0Defence6.7
16.7Form13.3
29.5Power18.4
1.27xG0.77
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