GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/27/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Pilar are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ezeiza are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ezeiza hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico PilarDWWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EzeizaWLLLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Atletico PilarEzeiza
26.7Attack27.3
40.0Defence57.6
16.7Form39.4
29.5Power44.1
0.69xG0.94
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