GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/4/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella de Berisso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Atletico Pilar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Estrella de Berisso are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella de Berisso hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Estrella de Berisso holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella de Berisso

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Estrella de Berisso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico PilarLLDWW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Estrella de BerissoDDLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico PilarEstrella de Berisso
26.7Attack43.3
40.0Defence60.0
16.7Form46.7
29.5Power50.2
0.64xG1.52
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