GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/14/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Pilar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Belgrano Zarate are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Zarate hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico PilarWDWDL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Belgrano ZarateDLLLL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico PilarBelgrano Zarate
26.7Attack25.0
40.0Defence80.6
16.7Form47.2
29.5Power53.5
0.38xG0.88
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