GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 4/26/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vitoria are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.4% in the Serie A, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

58.4%

Model confidence

58.4%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseDLWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
VitoriaLDWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico ParanaenseVitoria
44.9Attack33.3
71.0Defence50.0
59.4Form39.4
60.0Power42.6
1.52xG0.50
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