Atletico Paranaensevs
Sportivo Ameliano
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/30/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Atletico Paranaense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sportivo Ameliano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 52.6-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00