GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/30/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sportivo Ameliano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 52.6-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

73.7%

Model confidence

73.7%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseLWWWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sportivo AmelianoWWWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico ParanaenseSportivo Ameliano
72.2Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
69.4Form0.0
67.9Power15.3
2.52xG0.68
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