GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/10/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rayo Zuliano are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 53.6-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 14.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

87.9%

Model confidence

87.9%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseWLWDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rayo ZulianoDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico ParanaenseRayo Zuliano
72.2Attack4.8
66.7Defence14.3
69.4Form9.5
67.9Power14.3
3.45xG0.48
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