Atletico Paranaensevs
Rayo Zuliano
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/10/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Atletico Paranaense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rayo Zuliano are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 53.6-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 14.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
87.9%
Model confidence
87.9%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60