Atletico Paranaensevs
Racing Club
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/20/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Atletico Paranaense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Racing Club are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60