GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/20/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Racing Club are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

64.3%

Model confidence

64.3%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Racing ClubWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico ParanaenseRacing Club
72.2Attack61.1
66.7Defence50.0
69.4Form44.4
67.9Power53.1
2.32xG0.94
View match centre →