Serie ASerie A
Saturday, 25 July 202622:30Last updated 14:56
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense

Home
DL
20
Full time
Internacional

Internacional

Away
W
Arena da Baixada
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Atletico Paranaense(46%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Atletico Paranaense
46%
Draw
25%
Internacional
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Atletico Paranaense
9
Internacional
34
Defence
Atletico Paranaense
82
Internacional
91
Momentum
Atletico Paranaense
17
Internacional
100
Danger (xG)
Atletico Paranaense
0.00
Internacional
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Atletico Paranaense)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Internacional)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Atletico Paranaense)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Internacional)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
DL
InternacionalInternacional
W

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Atletico Paranaense46%
Draw25%
Internacional29%

Atletico Paranaense leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Atletico Paranaense head into this in Serie A fixture at Arena da Baixada in mixed form (DL), while Internacional arrive in mixed form (W). Atletico Paranaense have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Internacional over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Atletico Paranaense (82/100) and Internacional (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Atletico Paranaense have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Internacional have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Atletico Paranaense and Internacional in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Atletico Paranaense to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Atletico Paranaense 4551%, Draw 2530%, Internacional 2919%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense

D
@ Atletico Goianiense
14 May 2026
00
L
@ Vasco DA Gama
11 May 2026
01
Internacional

Internacional

W
vs Athletic Club
12 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional?

GoalVio's model predicts Atletico Paranaense to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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