GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/15/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Paranaense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Danubio are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Paranaense

Probability

63.8%

Model confidence

63.8%

Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico ParanaenseWWWLD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DanubioLLDWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico ParanaenseDanubio
72.2Attack28.6
66.7Defence66.7
69.4Form38.1
67.9Power46.6
1.82xG0.57
View match centre →