Atletico Paranaensevs
Danubio
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/15/2024, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Paranaense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Atletico Paranaense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Danubio are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Paranaense hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Atletico Paranaense holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Paranaense
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
63.8%
Atletico Paranaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80